Is the backlash beginning?
Fri Feb 15, 2008 at 07:49:03 AM PDT
Barack Obama gave a speech after the Potomac Primaries in Wisconsin. It is on the front page right now. One of the significant changes of tone in that speech is he started to train his guns on McCain; Obama presuming that he was the now the front runner. At the time, I wondered if that was a good idea with such big states as Texas and Ohio coming up. Hillary's ploy has been to say that all the 'little states' don't count and only states like Texas and Ohio do. This has the counter-weight of pumping up those two states - making them feel important. I'm wondering if that has led to a back-lash. Join me over the fold to find the bad news as to why I think so...
A Rasmussen poll just came out for Texas. It shows Obama down to Hillary by 16! Hilary 54% to Obama's 38%. That is huge and just the kind of numbers Hillary will need to stage a comeback. So stop thinking that Obama has this in the bag and get back to work.
Update: I know there are no trend lines on the Rasmussen poll - so it is hard to say whether my hypothesis has any weight given this poll. But I also want to dispel the whole 'Rasmussen is a Republican outfit' discredit. They are very accurate in state polls and head-to-head.
Update 2: Rasmussen's daily tracking poll also has Obama up by 8 - 48-40. This is down from yesterday's lead of 12. So there is some big outlyer there in the last 3-4 days. Obama barely beats McCain by 3 points, 46-43, while McCain clobbers Clinton by 8 - 49-41.